Surf Forecast

Jetty Surf Forecast for Week of Sept 10, 2024


Guys we have a deal with Island Fin Poke at Laurel and 41 in Nokomis (Publix Plaza). Designated days the waves are up they will have a special bowl for us surfers. Ask for the “its Pumping Bowl”, not on the menu, its a $10 premium ingredient bowl. The special is only good for the day/days the waves are good. We’ll let ya know what those days are.

Surfline, Swellinfo etc are good for general surf forecasting, what our Jetty Surf Forecast gives you is indepth knowledge for this local area. How the tides affect the surf locally, what the water conditions are, what the sandbars are doing, what the real water temp and feel is and when has been the better times to go out. Information that the general forecast sites have no way of knowing. Updated the page below to show the relevant buoys that affect our areas and a few secret cams.
Weekly surf report: In the heart of hurricane season we have a few to look at. A named storm will be in the western gulf late tonight or tomorrow. Small waves should start coming up Wednesday but don’t get your hopes up. It takes a long time for that swell to travel over 800 miles but when it hits it’ll stick around for a few days. Tides are high around sunrise and low mid afternoon so expect brown water at the jetty in the afternoon but the lower tide could be better cause its not a strong swell producing storm. The wind is looking fantastic. There should be some fun small maybe a waist high wave on Friday but don’t get your hopes up too high. Smaller waves before and after.
Tuesday update: Francine became a hurricane at 7pm update Tuesday night. It was looking real good yesterday but deescalated and now we might be back to the original forecast. Thursday wind not looking bad but not looking great either. Friday winds look good as of now.
Wednesday: We’ve waited for storm swells to show up. We’ve waited, we’ve waited and we’ve waited. They take a long time. Small waves could show up. Highly doubt anything more than longboard waves will come in. That being said, surf forecasting is unpredictable and the gulf is so weird. There is zero reason to believe anything of significance will come in. You never know, we’re definitely gonna be checking it all day haha. Maybe we’ll get a gulf surprise. Best chance late. Wind great, rain in the afternoon. Low tide at 1:30pm, water gonna be brown, better then.

Forecast intensified over night, add a foot to the overall forecast??

Thursday: Dang we could have fun waves all day. Hoping for fun waves all day. The storm just became a hurricane, how long does it take to get here? A few days. Do you have any idea how many times I got to the beach at dark before sunrise and walked up to all the old dudes looking out at the waves and heard “Thought it woulda been bigger.” Countless times. I won’t be surprised if thats what I hear Thursday morning. Not saying thats what will happen but man have seen it so many times. Low tide around 2:30pm but if theres swell in the water it should be fun all day. Thinking waist high hoping for more. Gotta be better than that, gotta be. Wind and swell can change but there will be waves.
Friday: Swell will be in the water. It should be fun all day too. Waist high waves, diminishing, fun though. High tide early morning, low tide 3:30pm. Good wind as of now.

Weekly Gulf Surf Forecast:

Bump up the forecast below more than it is right now

Monday: Flat
Tuesday: smooth conditions
Wednesday: Building to knee high
Thursday: Building to thigh high sets
Friday: Waist high sets
Sat:  Diminishing to knee high
Sun: Ankle to shin high
*Prepare accordingly and forecast *subject to change

 

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Relevant WFLA forecast buoys

Read the buoy data. These are the buoys we use to forecast waves for West Florida, you can get the data below. When the swell and period heights elevate from the northern, western or southern buoys the waves will eventually make it to us depending on the pace of the swell.

The waves follow the wind, check long range wind forecast on Windy charts below. Check real time wind data by checking the buoys and  watch the swell heights follow. There are many buoys that only record wind so check those out too by clicking the map below, “select region” will be on the top right of the map, select “Gulf of Mexico (East) Florida” then click whatever buoy your heart desires.

Buoy numbers above correspond to the buoys below

North Forecast buoys


42099 buoy stopped working with hurricane Idalia, back now

South forecast buoys below

42003 East Gulf – 208 NM West of Naples. Hasn’t been working for a little while but when it comes back online we’ll post it

42097 Pulley Ridge – Back online!

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Secret Cams

Casey Key

Pier (Scroll down for cam)

Crows Nest (Use for wind conditions sometimes)

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Real Time Wave Chart

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Real Time Wind Chart

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Click for Venice, FL surf reports. swell info

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East Coast of Florida Surf Forecast Links:

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North FLA:
911 Surf Report
Central FLA:
Wavecaster
CFL.Surf
2nd light forum
South Fla:

Slave to the wave

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How to forecast for West Florida in wintertime cold front season: Watch the lows/systems/front coming across the Gulf and from the north and west. Check the winds and buoys all the way from the western gulf to our coast and the northern Gulf to our coast. Look to see if the wind is pointed in our direction. Check the speed and amount and length of wind (wind fetch) real time and forecast, check the local wind real time and forecast. Keep checking as conditions change. Check the swell direction on the buoys and record them to see how long and how it hits our area. We have the best weather forecasting tech available, its as accurate as possible but still can be a little off most of the time. Check the water temp to see how much rubber to wear on our thinned blooded bodies. Check the water quality at different beaches. Check the tides, usually best at incoming tide but beaches vary. Find the prime time to surf. Spend a lot of time at the break, observing which tides work best at that particular break. Watch how the sandbars change after every swell and where it seems to be breaking better. Get disappointed most of the time. This is West Florida’s Gulf Coast.